Data Leak Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

86%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

12%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$338 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

55%

2

$11k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

36%

December 31, 2027

$567k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

88%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$135 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

10%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$143 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
E
Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

5%

October 31

$4.4m Vol.
$6k Liq.
1,049
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic lab leak by...?

Anthropic lab leak by...?

7%

June 30, 2027

$97k Vol.
$133k Liq.
🔥$75k today
Ends in 9 months
W
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?

All · sam altman

Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?

No

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
L
LockBit releases hacked London Drugs data by noon Friday?

Business · hacker

LockBit releases hacked London Drugs data by noon Friday?

Yes

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
25
Ended
A
Another Ledger leak/exploit by Mar 31?

All · technology

Another Ledger leak/exploit by Mar 31?

No

$60k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Apple create a backdoor for user data in iCloud?

Tech · Politics

Will Apple create a backdoor for user data in iCloud?

No

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
W
Will the US confirm SSN hack in August?

Politics

Will the US confirm SSN hack in August?

No

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
I
Iranian hackers release Trump emails by next Friday?

No

$38k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

4+

$38k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in July 2026?

4

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?

No

$123k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will Stanley Tang lose all his chips? - Million Dollar Game Day 4

Million Dollar Game · Poker warning

Will Stanley Tang lose all his chips? - Million Dollar Game Day 4

No

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended