Conservative Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

C
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

4%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

12%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$289k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

79%

Democrats

$2k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
D
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

5%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?

34%

12

$8k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 23 days
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

22–23

$695k Vol.
$76k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

77%

↑ $6

$843k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
U
UK election called by...?

UK · pedophile

UK election called by...?

27%

June 30, 2027

$825k Vol.
$2k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
C
CA-19 House Election Winner

CA-19 House Election Winner

98%

Jimmy Panetta (D)

$49k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$730 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

50%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$131 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

17%

↓ 2 ETH

$4k Vol.
$401 Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
N
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?

86%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

Yes

$178k Vol.
$23k Liq.
10
Ends in 4 months
C
CA-20 House Election Winner

CA-20 House Election Winner

95%

Vince Fong (R)

$31k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
CO-01 House Election Winner

CO-01 House Election Winner

97%

Melat Kiros (D)

$43k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
D
DE-AL House Election Winner

DE-AL House Election Winner

95%

Democratic Party

$44k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month