Climate Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

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Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

22%

Yes

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F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

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1
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Where will it rain on September 20?

96%

Chicago, IL

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S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

47%

1.35–1.39ºC

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Where will it rain on September 19?

Where will it rain on September 19?

100%

Chicago, IL

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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

73%

1

$3.5m Vol.
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27
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M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
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135
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Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

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September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

97%

2nd hottest

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What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

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8
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W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

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Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

78%

Yes

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What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

27%

Hanna

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W
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of September 21 2026?

50%

↑ $3.60

$369 Vol.
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H
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

63%

1-3

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Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

100%

Yes

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W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

44%

↓ 0.40

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1
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Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

21%

Yes

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What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months