Climate Science Predictions & Odds· 120 markets

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Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

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Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 Vol.
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Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

95%

Yes

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What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

78%

Over 2.5

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What will Bernie Sanders say during his Minneapolis Rally?

Hell 2+ times

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What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy Tour?

Healthcare 4+ times

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What will Bernie Sanders and Zohran Mamdani say at NYC Rally on April 12?

Billionaire 5+ times

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Switzerland’s March Referendum: What will pass?

Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal

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What will Trump say this week (November 10 - 16)?

MAGA / Make America Great Again

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What will Obama say during DNC speech?

Hope

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What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?

CIA

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What will the next Pope believe in?

Promoting a “Synodal Church”

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What will Powell say during Framework Review speech on May 15?

Recession

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What will Gretchen Whitmer say during DNC speech?

Michigan

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What will Trump say during Starmer presser February 27?

Ukraine 10+ times

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What will Trump say during Macron presser today?

US / United States 7+ times

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What will Pete Buttigieg say during DNC speech?

Manufacturing

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