Climate Science 预测与赔率· 102 个市场

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$16k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

22%

Yes

$43 交易量
$296 流动性
9 个月后结束
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k 交易量
$7k 流动性
1
2 个月后结束
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

43%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k 交易量
$2k 流动性
20 天后结束
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

73%

1

$3.5m 交易量
$226k 流动性
27
3 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k 交易量
$285k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m 交易量
$334 流动性
135
3 个月后结束
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$3k 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

44%

↓ 0.40

$79k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
W
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

73%

Over 2.5

$46k 交易量
$8k 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
Where will it rain on September 20?

Where will it rain on September 20?

100%

Philadelphia, PA

$2k 交易量
$2k 流动性
1 天后结束
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k 交易量
$6k 流动性
38
超过 1 年后结束
W
Where will it rain on September 19?

Where will it rain on September 19?

100%

Chicago, IL

$7k 交易量
$1k 流动性
大约 7 小时后结束
W
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

28%

↑ 0.30

$304k 交易量
$964 流动性
10
3 个月后结束
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

80%

Yes

$708 交易量
$531 流动性
6 个月后结束
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

7%

Yes

$147k 交易量
$9k 流动性
9
6 个月后结束
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k 交易量
$583 流动性
11 天后结束
W
What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in September 2026?

What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in September 2026?

62%

↑ $160

$3k 交易量
$3k 流动性
11 天后结束
W
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of September 21 2026?

50%

↑ $3.60

$369 交易量
$30 流动性
5 天后结束
W
What price will Solana hit in 2026?

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

70%

↑ 120

$2.0m 交易量
$675k 流动性
3 个月后结束