Climate Change Predictions & Odds· 121 markets

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

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What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

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What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

45%

↓ $0.03

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First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

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MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

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September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

49%

1.35–1.39ºC

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W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

75%

1

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What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 0.40

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Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

79%

Yes

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September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

98%

2nd hottest

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What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

78%

Over 2.5

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Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

95%

Yes

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What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

67%

↑ $6

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What will Trump say this week (November 10 - 16)?

MAGA / Make America Great Again

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What will Obama say during DNC speech?

Hope

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What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?

CIA

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What will the next Pope believe in?

Promoting a “Synodal Church”

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What will Gretchen Whitmer say during DNC speech?

Michigan

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