Claude 5 Predictions & Odds· 266 markets

B
Best AI model on October 5?

Best AI model on October 5?

69%

Other

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
B
Best AI model on September 28?

Best AI model on September 28?

62%

Other

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

72%

5-7

$22k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
N
Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

26%

October 3

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 22 days
W
What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?

50%

↑ $20

$0 Vol.
$133 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

50%

↑ $50

$0 Vol.
$134 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

50%

↑ $70

$0 Vol.
$200 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

90%

55%+

$121k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

97%

50%+

$31k Vol.
$993 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

63%

December 31

$605 Vol.
$520 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$28k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

96%

December 31

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

99%

December 31

$41k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

85%

1500+

$129k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

92%

December 31

$29k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

34%

1470+

$47k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
M25 Setubal: Robin Bertrand vs Joao Domingues

Tennis · Sports

M25 Setubal: Robin Bertrand vs Joao Domingues

68%

Robin Bertrand

$13 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
J
Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
G
Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
B
Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

53%

Claude Reid

$5k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 12 days