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Claude 5 Predictions & Odds· 258 markets

AllSportsPoliticsElectionsCanadaAIAnthropicTennisDowntimeTechOutageGlobal ElectionsGamesRecurringWorldBig TechClaudeClaude 5DebutClaude MythosAnthropic IPOInternational Election PropsSonnetClaude OpusHaikuFableAI ReleasesAI RankingsAI BenchmarksQuebec Elections
B
Best AI model on October 5?

Tech·AI

Best AI model on October 5?

67%

Other

$3k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
B
Best AI model on September 28?

Tech·AI

Best AI model on September 28?

62%

Other

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

Tech·AI

Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

72%

5-7

$21k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Tech·AI

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

89%

55%+

$119k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

50%+

$30k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus released by...?

51%

December 31

$64 Vol.
$288 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Tech·AI

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$28k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

96%

December 31

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

99%

December 31

$39k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

84%

1500+

$128k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

92%

December 31

$29k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

34%

1470+

$47k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
M25 Setubal: Robin Bertrand vs Joao Domingues

Tennis · Sports

M25 Setubal: Robin Bertrand vs Joao Domingues

68%

Robin Bertrand

$13 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
J
Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

World·Canada

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

51%

Claude Villeneuve

$8k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
G
Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

World·Canada

Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
B
Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

World·Canada

Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

52%

Claude Reid

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
C
Claude 5 released on...?

Tech·AI

Claude 5 released on...?

No release by February 28

$663k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
C
Claude 5 released by…?

Tech·Claude 5

Claude 5 released by…?

September 30, 2026

$4.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
219
Ended
W
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

Tech·AI

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

Yes

$138k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Tech·AI

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Yes

$59k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

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