China Talk Predictions & Odds· 205 markets

W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

5%

Yes

$42.5m Vol.
$498k Liq.
🔥$139k today
73
Ends in 3 months
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$3.4m Vol.
$90k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

0%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$83k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

4%

Yes

$368k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

7%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

12%

Yes

$3.2m Vol.
$180k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

28%

Yes

$479k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

3%

Yes

$212k Vol.
$24k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

8%

Yes

$449k Vol.
$83k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

50%

4.3-4.6%

$40k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
H
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

39%

8

$57k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
P
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

99%

No Change

$55k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%

Yes

$257k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

16%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

3%

Yes

$1.1m Vol.
$22k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Sneyking join a China-based team in 2026?

Dota 2 · Sports

Will Sneyking join a China-based team in 2026?

58%

Yes

$430 Vol.
$60 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
V
Valorant: Havoc & Yonder GC vs Nova Esports GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers China Qualifier Playoffs

41%

Havoc & Yonder GC

$27 Vol.
$373 Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
C
China PR vs. Turkmenistan

Sports · Games

China PR vs. Turkmenistan

51%

Draw (China PR vs. Turkmenistan)

$0 Vol.
$364 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
C
China PR vs. New Zealand

Sports · Games

China PR vs. New Zealand

51%

Draw (China PR vs. New Zealand)

$0 Vol.
$399 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
C
China PR vs. Palestine

Sports · Games

China PR vs. Palestine

51%

Draw (China PR vs. Palestine)

$0 Vol.
$380 Liq.
Ends in 4 days