China Talk Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

W
Will Trump insult Xi by end of US Visit?

2%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$32k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

13%

Dong Jun

$221k Vol.
$109k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
C
China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

7%

Yes

$331k Vol.
$16k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

3%

Yes

$213k Vol.
$24k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
C
China coup attempt before 2027?

China coup attempt before 2027?

6%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

100%

Xi Jinping

$161k Vol.
$146k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
R
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

17%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

69%

Moonshot

$64k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

73%

Z.ai

$133k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
C
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

28%

Yes

$482k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

25%

#3

$242k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

92%

Alibaba

$553k Vol.
$122k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

50%

Other

$17k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

4%

Yes

$13.8m Vol.
$427k Liq.
🔥$81k today
709
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

2%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

50%

Other

$32k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

61%

December 31

$102k Vol.
$15k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months