Chatgpt Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

55%

2

$10k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

88%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$128 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

12%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$137 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

34%

Zohran Mamdani

$55k Vol.
$511k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

94%

Tesla

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

50%

Sam / Altman

$7k Vol.
$212 Liq.
Ended
#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

51%

Muse from Meta

$195 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
#
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

59%

ChatGPT

$408 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

72%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

86%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

13%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$590 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

97%

OpenAI

$53k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

81%

OpenAI

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
N
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

49%

January 31

$0 Vol.
$125 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$59k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

86%

Anthropic

$23k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

92%

OpenAI

$27k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?

87%

Google

$61k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 10 days