Ayatollah Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

T
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

3%

Yes

$200k Vol.
$50k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$26.0m Vol.
$615k Liq.
🔥$104k today
1,089
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

5%

Yes

$638k Vol.
$36k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
P
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

98%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$951k Vol.
$146k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$105k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%

Yes

$26.2m Vol.
$675k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump praise Allah again by September 30?

40%

Yes

$424 Vol.
$148 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$22.1m Vol.
$138k Liq.
430
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran coup attempt by...?

Iran coup attempt by...?

10%

Yes

$2.1m Vol.
$19k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
M
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

11%

Yes

$870k Vol.
$10k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

64%

December 31

$30.2m Vol.
$426k Liq.
🔥$248k today
595
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

9%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

3%

Yes

$626k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

27%

80-99

$24 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
A
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?

28%

October 31

$33k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?

13%

December 31

$56k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

38%

Jared Kushner

$870k Vol.
$319k Liq.
🔥$93k today
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 25

$1.9m Vol.
$540k Liq.
🔥$177k today
Ends in about 1 month