Ayatollah Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

T
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

2%

Yes

$200k Vol.
$50k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$25.9m Vol.
$680k Liq.
🔥$55k today
1,089
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

5%

Yes

$636k Vol.
$25k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

20%

December 31

$7.2m Vol.
$112k Liq.
407
Ends in 3 months
P
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

98%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$945k Vol.
$239k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$106k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

0%

Yes

$2.4m Vol.
$224k Liq.
🔥$90k today
Ends in 10 days
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%

Yes

$26.2m Vol.
$581k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

4%

Yes

$22.1m Vol.
$129k Liq.
429
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran coup attempt by...?

Iran coup attempt by...?

8%

Yes

$2.1m Vol.
$32k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
M
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

11%

Yes

$870k Vol.
$15k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

60%

December 31

$29.9m Vol.
$457k Liq.
🔥$342k today
581
Ends in 3 months
M
M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Sergey Betov vs Varchasva Thapliyag Sidh

Tennis · Sports

M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Sergey Betov vs Varchasva Thapliyag Sidh

51%

Sergey Betov

$0 Vol.
$118 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

8%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

4%

Yes

$626k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
A
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?

Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?

26%

October 31

$33k Vol.
$689 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?

14%

December 31

$56k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

36%

Steve Witkoff

$768k Vol.
$314k Liq.
Ends in 3 months