Axiom Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

W
Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?

46%

December 31, 2027

$204k Vol.
$812 Liq.
26
Ended
S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

4%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$793k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$180 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
F
First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?

85%

None by December 25, 2026

$230k Vol.
$108k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

43%

0

$131k Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

50%

Anthropic

$342 Vol.
$63 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

15%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$559 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026?

83%

↑ $4,400

$230k Vol.
$277k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

36%

$900B-$1.00T

$7k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

100%

Trump

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

86%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

87%

$900B-$1.00T

$27k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

63%

December 31, 2027

$64k Vol.
$41k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

55%

Hodge Conjecture

$172k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

89%

November 30

$45k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

33%

Hadamard Matrix Conjecture

$26k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

77%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$561 Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
M
M15 Columbia, SC: Nikolas Stoot vs Atakan Karahan

Tennis · Sports

M15 Columbia, SC: Nikolas Stoot vs Atakan Karahan

52%

Nikolas Stoot

$0 Vol.
$287 Liq.
Ends in 8 days