Anthropic Predictions & Odds· 872 markets

A
Anthropic IPO by __?

Anthropic IPO by __?

78%

December 31, 2026

$3.8m Vol.
$213k Liq.
50
Ends in 9 months
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

26%

$2.0–$2.25T

$955k Vol.
$186k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
I
In which month will Anthropic IPO?

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

55%

November 2026

$271k Vol.
$64k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

21%

December 31, 2029

$58k Vol.
$726k Liq.
1
Ends in over 3 years
A
Anthropic lab leak by...?

Anthropic lab leak by...?

7%

June 30, 2027

$101k Vol.
$245k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

96%

600B+

$502k Vol.
$172k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

63%

December 31, 2027

$69k Vol.
$24k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

9%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

37%

October 31

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

95%

Anthropic

$386k Vol.
$38k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

89%

$1.5T

$6k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

83%

1.8T+

$461k Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

69%

Yes

$200k Vol.
$6k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

21%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

3%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

75%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

50%

Anthropic

$342 Vol.
$28 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
D
Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

5%

Yes

$11 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year