AI Development Predictions & Odds· 227 markets

B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

88%

Alibaba

$525k Vol.
$108k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.6m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$348k Vol.
$667k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$992k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

41%

0

$119k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$287k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?

90%

OpenAI

$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

86%

Moonshot

$54k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

50%

Other

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

64%

Alibaba

$102k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

84%

Anthropic

$31k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
#
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$7k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

52%

Anthropic

$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

58%

Hodge Conjecture

$169k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

65%

Z.ai

$128k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

81%

October 31

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

77%

OpenAI

$155k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

73%

Anthropic

$5k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 2 months