4th Of July Predictions & Odds· 145 markets

B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place

50%

Candidate A

$4k Vol.
$100k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$272k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 28?

98%

$750

$2k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$290 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

73%

March 31

$32.6m Vol.
$560k Liq.
🔥$235k today
655
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

98%

October 31

$730k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
S
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

40%

December 31

$989k Vol.
$10k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$576k Vol.
$6k Liq.
43
Ends in over 1 year
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

56%

VAT federal decree

$10k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

90%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$374 Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
S
SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?

SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?

49%

Yes

$685 Vol.
$62 Liq.
Ends in 10 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$279k Liq.
35
Ended
K
Kuwait Kerala Premier League T20: Palakad Patriots vs Blasters Cochin

50%

Palakad Patriots

$11 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$24k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

87%

China

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4)

100%

Trump

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
U
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

17%

Yes

$255k Vol.
$25k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
S
SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

6%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

13%

Up

$2k Vol.
$339 Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

90%

September 30

$3.9m Vol.
$302k Liq.
🔥$581k today
Ends in about 1 month