4th Of July Predictions & Odds· 146 markets

B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place

50%

Candidate A

$5k Vol.
$161k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$162k Liq.
🔥$52k today
8
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 29?

95%

$750

$431 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 28?

99%

$760

$24k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 24 minutes
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$286 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

75%

March 31

$33.2m Vol.
$488k Liq.
🔥$547k today
664
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

100%

Successful splash down?

$796k Vol.
$10k Liq.
🔥$65k today
Ends in 9 months
S
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

39%

December 31

$989k Vol.
$35k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$576k Vol.
$5k Liq.
43
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

90%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$460 Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

61%

VAT federal decree

$11k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?

SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?

51%

Yes

$706 Vol.
$80 Liq.
Ends in 10 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.1m Vol.
$245k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
K
Kuwait Kerala Premier League T20: Palakad Patriots vs Blasters Cochin

50%

Palakad Patriots

$11 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$24k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
M
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Jordan vs Kazakhstan (BO3) - Asian Games Group C

Esports · Mobile Legends: Bang Bang

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Jordan vs Kazakhstan (BO3) - Asian Games Group C

50%

Team Jordan

$0 Vol.
$229 Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

86%

Russia

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
M
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Philippines vs Team Jordan (BO3) - Asian Games Group C

Esports · Mobile Legends: Bang Bang

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Philippines vs Team Jordan (BO3) - Asian Games Group C

76%

Philippines

$2 Vol.
$238 Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
C
Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

13%

Up

$2k Vol.
$339 Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4)

95%

Iran

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 days