Openai 预测与赔率· 263 个市场

O
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

20%

December 31, 2029

$49k 交易量
$1.3m 流动性
4
超过 3 年后结束
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

41%

December 31, 2026

$405k 交易量
$10k 流动性
41
3 个月后结束
N
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

98%

November 30

$46k 交易量
$6k 流动性
2 个月后结束
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

$800B

$1.5m 交易量
$22k 流动性
2
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

Yes

$264k 交易量
$25k 流动性
30
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

66%

1.5T+

$335k 交易量
$82k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

77%

55%+

$107k 交易量
$7k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

83%

December 31, 2027

$223k 交易量
$39k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

3%

Yes

$312k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

80%

October 31

$10k 交易量
$2k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

96%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$2.3m 交易量
$137k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

34%

December 31, 2026

$1k 交易量
$1k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

82%

September 24

$6k 交易量
$2k 流动性
5 天后结束
O
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

57%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m 交易量
$84k 流动性
14
3 个月后结束
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

14%

Yes

$79k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

19%

Clip-on device for clothing

$435k 交易量
$24k 流动性
13
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

47%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k 交易量
$2k 流动性
4 个月后结束
N
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

54%

November 30

$17k 交易量
$638 流动性
2 个月后结束
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

87%

Anthropic

$82k 交易量
$10k 流动性
4 个月后结束