Chatgpt 预测与赔率· 114 个市场

#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

55%

2

$10k 交易量
$1k 流动性
11 天后结束
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

88%

Yes

$4k 交易量
$84 流动性
11 天后结束
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k 交易量
$2k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

5%

Yes

$17k 交易量
$169 流动性
11 天后结束
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

Tesla

$4k 交易量
$1k 流动性
8 天后结束
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

35%

Zohran Mamdani

$53k 交易量
$520k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

52%

Sam / Altman

$6k 交易量
$153 流动性
1 天后结束
#
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

59%

ChatGPT

$261 交易量
$360 流动性
6 天后结束
#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

50%

Reserved app 1

$60 交易量
$256 流动性
6 天后结束
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.3m 交易量
$935k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

81%

October 31

$8k 交易量
$2k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

15%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$383 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

97%

OpenAI

$53k 交易量
$7k 流动性
11 天后结束
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$2k 交易量
$3k 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

82%

OpenAI

$3k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2 个月后结束
N
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

49%

January 31

$0 交易量
$95 流动性
4 个月后结束
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$58k 交易量
$7k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

90%

Anthropic

$22k 交易量
$8k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

92%

OpenAI

$26k 交易量
$4k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?

84%

Google

$61k 交易量
$7k 流动性
11 天后结束