Openai 预测与赔率· 826 个市场

O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

74%

December 31, 2027

$283k 交易量
$14k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

24%

December 31, 2026

$439k 交易量
$24k 流动性
46
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

16%

Yes

$275k 交易量
$28k 流动性
30
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

61%

1.5T+

$357k 交易量
$107k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

78%

55%+

$111k 交易量
$7k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

56%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m 交易量
$98k 流动性
14
9 个月后结束
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

14%

Yes

$81k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
W
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

13%

Yes

$13k 交易量
$359 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

20%

December 31, 2029

$66k 交易量
$728k 流动性
4
超过 3 年后结束
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

91%

Anthropic

$82k 交易量
$9k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

97%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$2.3m 交易量
$138k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

79%

$800B

$1.5m 交易量
$18k 流动性
3
超过 1 年后结束
N
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

33%

November 30

$27k 交易量
$1k 流动性
2 个月后结束
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$4k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3
大约 1 个月后结束
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

2%

Yes

$313k 交易量
$7k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

9%

OpenAI

$10k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

19%

Clip-on device for clothing

$437k 交易量
$26k 流动性
13
3 个月后结束
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

95%

Anthropic

$385k 交易量
$33k 流动性
3
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$559 交易量
$1k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

77%

OpenAI

$3k 交易量
$1k 流动性
1
超过 1 年后结束