Open Source Intel 预测与赔率· 114 个市场

U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

8%

Yes

$5k 交易量
$954 流动性
3 个月后结束
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

5%

Yes

$18k 交易量
$115 流动性
11 天后结束
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
N
New MAI thinking model released by...?

New MAI thinking model released by...?

57%

December 31

$489 交易量
$374 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

87%

$900B-$1.00T

$27k 交易量
$7k 流动性
11 天后结束
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

36%

$900B-$1.00T

$6k 交易量
$5k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

53%

2

$10k 交易量
$5k 流动性
11 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

87%

Anthropic

$62k 交易量
$18k 流动性
11 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

90%

Anthropic

$22k 交易量
$14k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
N
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

98%

November 30

$45k 交易量
$8k 流动性
2 个月后结束
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

80%

October 31

$8k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
C
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN Group A

74%

Liquid

$6 交易量
$5k 流动性
6 天后结束
O
OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

84%

September 24

$6k 交易量
$2k 流动性
5 天后结束
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

$30k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

38%

December 31, 2026

$403k 交易量
$8k 流动性
40
3 个月后结束
U
UK strike on Iran before July?

UK strike on Iran before July?

No

$334k 交易量
$0 流动性
17
已结束
W
Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?

No

$87k 交易量
$0 流动性
6
已结束
I
Israel military action against Iraq before December?

No

$211k 交易量
$0 流动性
112
已结束
W
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?

No

$214k 交易量
$0 流动性
438
已结束
W
Will Netanyahu visit Egypt in 2024?

Will Netanyahu visit Egypt in 2024?

No

$30k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束