Federal Reserve 预测与赔率· 121 个市场

F
Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

57%

Bia Kicis

$47k 交易量
$108k 流动性
1
14 天后结束
F
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

2%

Yes

$38k 交易量
$17k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place

Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place

90%

Michelle Bolsonaro

$29k 交易量
$110k 流动性
1
14 天后结束
W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

14%

Yes

$81k 交易量
$15k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
D
Daejon Love pleads guilty to federal crime by...?

Daejon Love pleads guilty to federal crime by...?

62%

June 30, 2027

$328 交易量
$426 流动性
9 个月后结束
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

34%

Yes

$284 交易量
$233 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

12%

Yes

$345 交易量
$378 流动性
3 个月后结束
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

91%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$34k 交易量
$161k 流动性
14 天后结束
F
Federal District Governor Election Winner

Federal District Governor Election Winner

83%

Celina Leão

$17k 交易量
$84k 流动性
1
14 天后结束
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

25%

Yes

$10 交易量
$572 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$9k 流动性
12 天后结束
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

54%

4.25%

$6.9m 交易量
$446k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

71%

VAT federal decree

$9k 交易量
$16k 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
W
Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

70%

December 31

$26k 交易量
$12k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

36%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$90k 交易量
$142k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

Yes

$8k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

68%

25 bps increase

$1.1m 交易量
$653k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

55%

25 bps increase

$7.8m 交易量
$3.1m 流动性
🔥$78k 今日
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

57%

No change

$94k 交易量
$282k 流动性
4 个月后结束