Economic Policy 预测与赔率· 105 个市场

49%

2.75-3.25%

12%

Yes

77%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

94%

Ra'am

86%

No Change

36%

Hike–Pause–Hike

34%

5.9%+

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

14%

Yes

69%

25 bps increase

83%

No change

61%

None before 2027

72%

0.3%

4%

Yes

4%

Yes

38%

3.4%

9%

Yes

65%

0-1.0%

37%

Yes

63%

25 bps decrease