Federal Reserve 预测与赔率· 121 个市场

W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

20%

Yes

$82k 交易量
$15k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
F
Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place

Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place

91%

Michelle Bolsonaro

$30k 交易量
$120k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束
F
Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

65%

Bia Kicis

$47k 交易量
$103k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

91%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$34k 交易量
$125k 流动性
9 个月后结束
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

31%

Yes

$318 交易量
$602 流动性
3 个月后结束
D
Daejon Love pleads guilty to federal crime by...?

Daejon Love pleads guilty to federal crime by...?

62%

June 30, 2027

$328 交易量
$322 流动性
9 个月后结束
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

25%

Yes

$10 交易量
$490 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Federal District Governor Election Winner

Federal District Governor Election Winner

83%

Celina Leão

$17k 交易量
$85k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束
F
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

10%

Yes

$345 交易量
$572 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$9k 流动性
10 天后结束
F
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

2%

Yes

$38k 交易量
$17k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

53%

4.25%

$6.9m 交易量
$154k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

72%

VAT federal decree

$9k 交易量
$14k 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

57%

December 31

$26k 交易量
$14k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k 交易量
$10k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

38%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$96k 交易量
$80k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

Yes

$8k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

68%

25 bps increase

$1.1m 交易量
$571k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

54%

25 bps increase

$9.2m 交易量
$2.2m 流动性
🔥$902k 今日
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$110k 交易量
$500k 流动性
4 个月后结束