Federal Reserve 预测与赔率· 300 个市场

F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

38%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$103k 交易量
$191k 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

4%

Yes

$19k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

Yes

$8k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

5%

Yes

$64k 交易量
$7k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

53%

4.25%

$6.9m 交易量
$437k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

68%

25 bps increase

$1.2m 交易量
$834k 流动性
🔥$89k 今日
3 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

53%

25 bps increase

$10.2m 交易量
$2.1m 流动性
🔥$1.0m 今日
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$110k 交易量
$486k 流动性
4 个月后结束
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

80%

↑ 4.25%

$1.8m 交易量
$340k 流动性
13
3 个月后结束
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

13%

Yes

$448k 交易量
$3k 流动性
21
3 个月后结束
T
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

1%

Yes

$30k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

10%

December 31

$31k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

87%

Yes

$122k 交易量
$251k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

3%

Yes

$231k 交易量
$19k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

62%

2 (50 bps)

$604k 交易量
$251k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

52%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m 交易量
$184k 流动性
31
超过 1 年后结束
L
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

5%

December 31

$24k 交易量
$38k 流动性
3 个月后结束
T
Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?

Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?

5%

Yes

$28k 交易量
$9k 流动性
8 天后结束
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

96%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k 交易量
$11k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

10%

June 30, 2027

$48k 交易量
$66k 流动性
9 个月后结束