Chat Bots 预测与赔率· 105 个市场

W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

25%

#3

$242k 交易量
$19k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

53%

2

$10k 交易量
$6k 流动性
11 天后结束
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

76%

None in 2026

$126k 交易量
$14k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

5%

Yes

$18k 交易量
$184 流动性
11 天后结束
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

15%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$554 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

33%

↑ 1530

$217k 交易量
$4k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$157k 交易量
$258k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.3m 交易量
$976k 流动性
3 个月后结束
#
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

Shadowrocket

$66k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
#
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?

HotSchedules

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
#
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?

Shadowrocket

$35k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
C
ChatGPT global AI chatbot market share on October 31?

80–81%

$42k 交易量
$0 流动性
W
Will Bing suspend its AI chatbot by February 28?

All

Will Bing suspend its AI chatbot by February 28?

No

$9k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

No

$318k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April?

No

$54k 交易量
$0 流动性
4
已结束
W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?

No

$268k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Will @Grok resume replying by Friday?

Will @Grok resume replying by Friday?

No

$19k 交易量
$0 流动性
7
已结束
W
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30?

All

Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30?

Yes

$15k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022?
$32k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束