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AI Development 预测与赔率· 227 个市场

全部 Science Sam Altman China AI OpenAI Grok Anthropic Tech Chatgpt Recurring Big Tech Math Coding Moonshot AI Agent AI Rankings AI Benchmarks AI Regulation WebDev Astra CMI Millennium Prize AI Achievements AI Safety

B

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

95%

Alibaba

$529k 交易量

$112k 流动性

11 天后结束

W

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.6m 交易量

$1.4m 流动性

11 天后结束

W

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$348k 交易量

$642k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

W

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.3m 交易量

$975k 流动性

3 个月后结束

A

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

85%

December 31, 2027

$287k 交易量

$20k 流动性

超过 1 年后结束

H

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

42%

0

$119k 交易量

$66k 流动性

3 个月后结束

W

Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?

90%

OpenAI

$15k 交易量

$11k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

W

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

50%

Other

$9k 交易量

$5k 流动性

2 个月后结束

T

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

87%

Moonshot

$54k 交易量

$24k 流动性

11 天后结束

W

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

57%

OpenAI

$158k 交易量

$27k 流动性

11 天后结束

B

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

63%

Alibaba

$102k 交易量

$34k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

W

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

84%

Anthropic

$31k 交易量

$25k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

#

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$7k 交易量

$13k 流动性

2 个月后结束

W

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

57%

Hodge Conjecture

$169k 交易量

$22k 流动性

超过 1 年后结束

S

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

52%

Anthropic

$5k 交易量

$9k 流动性

2 个月后结束

A

$AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?$

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

11%

Yes

$32k 交易量

$693 流动性

3 个月后结束

S

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$5k 交易量

$5k 流动性

2 个月后结束

S

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

65%

Z.ai

$128k 交易量

$19k 流动性

11 天后结束

S

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$7k 交易量

$8k 流动性

2 个月后结束

O

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

83%

October 31

$10k 交易量

$3k 流动性

1

大约 1 个月后结束

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