Weather Science Predictions & Odds· 500 markets

W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

22%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$449 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will it rain on September 20?

88%

New York, NY

$0 Vol.
$529 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Where will it rain on September 19?

Where will it rain on September 19?

100%

Chicago, IL

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$328 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$292k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US Tornadoes in September 2026

US Tornadoes in September 2026

65%

25 - 49

$118 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

45%

1.40–1.44ºC

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
W
Which cities face tornado risk on September 19?

50%

Columbus, OH

$350 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
H
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 21?

41%

31°C

$1k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Where will it rain on August 10?

Singapore

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$506 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$691k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

37%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$64 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 21?

46%

27°C or higher

$2k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

74%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$215k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

44%

↓ 0.40

$79k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

27%

Hanna

$29k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
H
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 20?

Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 20?

36%

29°C

$12k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours