Volcanic Eruption Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

43%

1

$1.2m Vol.
$10k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

7%

Yes

$147k Vol.
$9k Liq.
9
Ends in 6 months
V
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

7%

Yes

$660 Vol.
$17 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
E
Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?

Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?

11%

Yes

$21 Vol.
$48 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

17%

Yes

$247k Vol.
$1k Liq.
17
Ends in 5 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$335 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

64%

80-99

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

37%

60-79

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

10%

Yes

$207k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

49%

100-119

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$792k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
K
Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

97%

<5

$17k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

92%

<5

$227 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

94%

<5

$6k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$281k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
1
100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

3%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

26%

Yes

$314k Vol.
$839 Liq.
Ends in 5 months
1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1%

Yes

$117k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
W
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?

49%

December 31

$421k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months