Clima Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
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Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

22%

Yes

$43 Vol.
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Ends in 9 months
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Where will it rain on September 19?

95%

Chicago, IL

$2k Vol.
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S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

46%

1.35–1.39ºC

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Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

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Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

70%

Yes

$663 Vol.
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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

74%

1

$3.5m Vol.
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27
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

25%

Gonzalo

$29k Vol.
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1
Ends in 2 months
C
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Nice Try (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Nice Try (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs

89%

Eternal Fire

$6k Vol.
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Ends in about 13 hours
C
Colima Governor Election Winner

Colima Governor Election Winner

78%

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera

$37k Vol.
$200k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
S
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

97%

2nd hottest

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How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

61%

1-3

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F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

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1
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H
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?

38%

32°C

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Ends in 1 day
L
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?

71%

27°C

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What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

71%

Over 2.5

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Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

37%

Yes

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Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

78%

Rafael López Aliaga

$158k Vol.
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79
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Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

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Lowest temperature in Helsinki on September 20?

29%

11°C

$98 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day