US Politics Predictions & Odds· 280 markets

U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

100%

September 25

$3.8m Vol.
$384k Liq.
🔥$720k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

4%

December 31

$70.7m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$328k today
1,715
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

74%

March 31

$32.5m Vol.
$475k Liq.
🔥$256k today
653
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

12%

December 31

$18.5m Vol.
$336k Liq.
🔥$135k today
157
Ended
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

98%

December 31

$346k Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

4%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$17k Liq.
11
Ends in 4 days
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

60%

December 31, 2026

$83k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

16%

Yes

$7.4m Vol.
$41k Liq.
111
Ends in 3 months
U
US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

11%

October 31

$141k Vol.
$205k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

2%

Yes

$10.9m Vol.
$85k Liq.
276
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

45%

Kazem Gharibabadi

$1.1m Vol.
$96k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

9%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$131k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$221k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

100%

September 25

$73k Vol.
$19k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

41%

No Meeting by December 31

$39k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

4%

7.0%

$523k Vol.
$15k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
#
#2 US Spotify Song 2026

#2 US Spotify Song 2026

83%

Earrings – Malcom Todd

$68k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
F
First to list tokenized stocks in the US?

First to list tokenized stocks in the US?

30%

Coinbase

$14k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

17%

Yes

$255k Vol.
$17k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

90%

Unabomber

$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 days