US Economy Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

77%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$91k Vol.
$7k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$966k Vol.
$278k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
G
GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

64%

2.0–2.5%

$74k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
U
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

76%

≥3.0%

$40k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

41%

800–900B

$25k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

10%

Yes

$2.0m Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 22?

99%

$740

$14k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
U
US recession by end of 2027?

US recession by end of 2027?

35%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in September 2026?

55%

↑ 101.00

$52k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit Week of September 21 2026?

50%

↑ 101.60

$199 Vol.
$12 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 23?

93%

$760

$0 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$339 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
N
Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

2%

Yes

$33k Vol.
$356 Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
C
Core PCE MoM - August 2026

Core PCE MoM - August 2026

70%

0.3%

$18k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

34%

5.9%+

$12k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 24 days
C
Core PCE YoY - August 2026

Core PCE YoY - August 2026

34%

3.4%

$44k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$571k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

30%

7.2M to 7.3M

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$13k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
W
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

51%

↓ $7,400

$375k Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in 3 months