Trump Iran Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

5%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$51 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

42%

Kazem Gharibabadi

$1.1m Vol.
$216k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4)

95%

Iran

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

92%

Tesla

$525 Vol.
$788 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
T
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

2%

Yes

$200k Vol.
$46k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$1.1m Vol.
$163k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$4.4m Vol.
$348k Liq.
🔥$475k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

78%

December 31, 2026

$168k Vol.
$121k Liq.
🔥$80k today
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

36%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$701 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

72%

March 31

$32.9m Vol.
$512k Liq.
🔥$300k today
665
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

37%

USA

$63k Vol.
$217k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?

Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?

1%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 days
W
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

2%

Yes

$626k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

19%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

6%

Yes

$102k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$639k Vol.
$25k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

10%

Yes

$274k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump praise Allah again by September 30?

14%

Yes

$574 Vol.
$87 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
P
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

98%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months