Trump Iran Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

5%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$67 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

31%

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf

$1.1m Vol.
$290k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4)

87%

Fear

$3k Vol.
$219 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

97%

Tesla

$872 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
T
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

2%

Yes

$200k Vol.
$46k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m Vol.
$159k Liq.
🔥$58k today
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 30

$4.6m Vol.
$343k Liq.
🔥$360k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

66%

December 31, 2026

$267k Vol.
$138k Liq.
🔥$120k today
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

35%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

73%

March 31

$33.3m Vol.
$501k Liq.
🔥$622k today
669
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

34%

No Meeting by December 31

$88k Vol.
$296k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?

Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?

1%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 days
W
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

3%

Yes

$626k Vol.
$16k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

14%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

6%

Yes

$102k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$639k Vol.
$30k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

14%

Yes

$279k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump praise Allah again by September 30?

19%

Yes

$574 Vol.
$58 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
P
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

98%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months