Transportation Security Administration Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

30%

Dan Scavino

$1.4m Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

9%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$212 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Number of TSA passengers January 2?

2.5-2.75m

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

77%

September 18

$32k Vol.
$925 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
H
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

50%

October 31

$66k Vol.
$45k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 days
U
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

34%

October 31

$100k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$945k Vol.
$236k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

50%

September 30

$86k Vol.
$126 Liq.
🔥$66k today
Ended
W
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

4%

Yes

$368k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

6%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

60%

December 31

$29.9m Vol.
$461k Liq.
🔥$349k today
581
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

14%

Yes

$387k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?

CS2 · Sports

Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?

14%

Yes

$347 Vol.
$105 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

0%

Yes

$2.5m Vol.
$521k Liq.
Ended
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

1%

Yes

$9.2m Vol.
$273k Liq.
🔥$90k today
Ends in 10 days
S
Somali Pirates successfully seize a vessel by...?

40%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$59 Liq.
Ended
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

65%

0-5

$40k Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$267k Vol.
$18k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

51%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$428 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months