Third Party Predictions & Odds· 141 markets

W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

29%

Google

$58k Vol.
$52k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
N
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

51%

New Zealand First Party

$16k Vol.
$47k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
R
Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

66%

New People (NL)

$171k Vol.
$223k Liq.
1
Ended
B
Berlin State Election: 3rd Place

Berlin State Election: 3rd Place

60%

AfD

$55k Vol.
$154k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

54%

Renan Santos

$1.3m Vol.
$769k Liq.
137
Ends in 14 days
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

55%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$317 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Premier League: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

Sports · Soccer

Premier League: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
A
Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner

Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner

82%

Democrat

$2k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukrainian Premier League: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

Sports · Soccer

Ukrainian Premier League: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

$0 Vol.
$46 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
E
Eredivisie: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

Sports · Soccer

Eredivisie: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

$0 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
S
Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Süper Lig: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

Sports · Soccer

Süper Lig: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

$0 Vol.
$30 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
B
Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

50%

Party A

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
L
LaLiga: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

Sports · Soccer

LaLiga: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

$5 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$47k Vol.
$850k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

36%

December 31, 2026

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$334 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

68%

One Nation

$21k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
P
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner

97%

Josh Shapiro (D)

$50k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Maryland Governor Election Winner

Maryland Governor Election Winner

96%

Wes Moore (D)

$22k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month