Taoiseach Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$982k Vol.
$178k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$111k Vol.
$175k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$309 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina

97%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$7k Vol.
$164k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?

85%

39%+

$71k Vol.
$167k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
V
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

6%

Yes

$44k Vol.
$15k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
M
M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Georgios Nouchakis vs Romain Faucon

Tennis · Sports

M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Georgios Nouchakis vs Romain Faucon

16%

Georgios Nouchakis

$0 Vol.
$767 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M25 Sabadell: Ignacio Parisca vs Cian Maguire

Tennis · Sports

M25 Sabadell: Ignacio Parisca vs Cian Maguire

91%

Ignacio Parisca

$20 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

35%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$554k Vol.
$682k Liq.
🔥$84k today
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$244 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
S
São Paulo Governor Election Winner

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

99%

Tarcísio de Freitas

$313k Vol.
$101k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
S
Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

98%

Jorginho Mello

$126k Vol.
$112k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
W
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?

17%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$211 Liq.
Ended
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

48%

80-99

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
F
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?

64%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

49%

80-99

$265 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

50%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$162 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

5%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$24k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?

53%

44%+

$9k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

53%

Lula da Silva <5%

$578k Vol.
$433k Liq.
17
Ends in 12 days