Taoiseach Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$946k Vol.
$243k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$106k Vol.
$184k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

15%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$355 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina

97%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$6k Vol.
$205k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?

88%

39%+

$61k Vol.
$110k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
V
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

7%

Yes

$43k Vol.
$13k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$392k Vol.
$626k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

97%

China

$2k Vol.
$852 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M25 Sabadell: Sacha Maes vs Toprak Avcibasi

Tennis · Sports

M25 Sabadell: Sacha Maes vs Toprak Avcibasi

36%

Sacha Maes

$0 Vol.
$92 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Augusto Cury Vote Share?

40%

2-4%

$9k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
S
São Paulo Governor Election Winner

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

99%

Tarcísio de Freitas

$312k Vol.
$138k Liq.
13
Ends in 13 days
S
Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

98%

Jorginho Mello

$125k Vol.
$182k Liq.
2
Ends in 14 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k Vol.
$338 Liq.
Ended
W
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?

25%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$232 Liq.
Ended
F
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?

92%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

52%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$159 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
M
M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Essa Qabazard vs Georgios Nouchakis

Tennis · Sports

M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Essa Qabazard vs Georgios Nouchakis

59%

Essa Qabazard

$0 Vol.
$253 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Forbach: Pierre Ngijol Carre vs Attila Hueller-Varga

Tennis · Sports

M15 Forbach: Pierre Ngijol Carre vs Attila Hueller-Varga

67%

Pierre Ngijol Carre

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$24k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?

43%

44%+

$6k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 14 days