Taoiseach Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$946k Vol.
$249k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$106k Vol.
$200k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

15%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$355 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina

97%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$6k Vol.
$201k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?

88%

39%+

$61k Vol.
$112k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
V
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

7%

Yes

$43k Vol.
$13k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$392k Vol.
$625k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

97%

China

$2k Vol.
$801 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M25 Sabadell: Sacha Maes vs Toprak Avcibasi

Tennis · Sports

M25 Sabadell: Sacha Maes vs Toprak Avcibasi

50%

Sacha Maes

$0 Vol.
$92 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
São Paulo Governor Election Winner

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

99%

Tarcísio de Freitas

$312k Vol.
$136k Liq.
13
Ends in 13 days
S
Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

98%

Jorginho Mello

$125k Vol.
$180k Liq.
2
Ends in 14 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

50%

Communist / Communism

$7k Vol.
$112 Liq.
Ended
W
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?

25%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$232 Liq.
Ended
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

37%

60-79

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

71%

80-99

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
F
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?

92%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Essa Qabazard vs Georgios Nouchakis

Tennis · Sports

M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Essa Qabazard vs Georgios Nouchakis

61%

Essa Qabazard

$0 Vol.
$230 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

50%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$167 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
M
M15 Forbach: Pierre Ngijol Carre vs Attila Hueller-Varga

Tennis · Sports

M15 Forbach: Pierre Ngijol Carre vs Attila Hueller-Varga

67%

Pierre Ngijol Carre

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$24k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months