Tanker Predictions & Odds· 145 markets

H
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

16%

October 31

$130k Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 days
U
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?

4%

Yes

$46k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

80%

March 31

$32.0m Vol.
$491k Liq.
🔥$414k today
629
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

27%

US

$50k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

84%

0-5

$63k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

12%

10+

$39k Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 21?

46%

20-24

$6k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?

35%

<20

$12k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?

43%

25-29

$51k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
H
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 21?

51%

170-189

$2k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
H
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?

34%

170-189

$9k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

18%

Yes

$429k Vol.
$90k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

28%

Yes

$13.0m Vol.
$355k Liq.
🔥$180k today
Ends in 3 months
0
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?

17%

December 31

$8k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

39%

October 31

$863k Vol.
$22k Liq.
49
Ended
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

32%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

11%

Yes

$966k Vol.
$129k Liq.
🔥$65k today
Ends in about 1 month
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

1%

Yes

$10.4m Vol.
$309k Liq.
🔥$937k today
Ends in 5 days
W
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

74%

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

$479k Vol.
$225k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: September

Nothing Ever Happens: September

99%

Nothing

$7k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 5 days