Tairffs Predictions & Odds· 340 markets

U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

43%

December 31

$202k Vol.
$61k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
C
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?

42%

December 31, 2027

$16k Vol.
$916 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

63%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

61%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$334 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

4%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$703 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
U
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by...?

41%

December 31

$47k Vol.
$432 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

12%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%

December 31

$284k Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

34%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$490 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?

32%

5–15%

$787 Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

5%

Yes

$984k Vol.
$36k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

18%

Yes

$436k Vol.
$2k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?

6%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

28%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$87k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

No

$26k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

No

$819k Vol.
$0 Liq.
39
Ended
W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Yes

$467k Vol.
$0 Liq.
71
Ended
W
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?

Yes

$614k Vol.
$0 Liq.
130
Ended