Macro Geopolitics Predictions & Odds· 205 markets

M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$21k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
A
AD Marco 09 vs. FC Maia Lidador

Sports · Games

AD Marco 09 vs. FC Maia Lidador

73%

AD Marco 09

$60 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
M
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Marco Dessi vs Cosimo Banti

Tennis · Sports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Marco Dessi vs Cosimo Banti

50%

Marco Dessi

$0 Vol.
$6 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
F
FC Alpendorada vs. AD Mação

Sports · Games

FC Alpendorada vs. AD Mação

43%

FC Alpendorada

$0 Vol.
$432 Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$108 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$706.5m Vol.
$51.8m Liq.
🔥$840k today
440
Ends in about 2 years
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

50%

Delcy Rodríguez

$96.8m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$691k today
410
Ends in 3 months
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$707.2m Vol.
$60.2m Liq.
🔥$143k today
1,033
Ends in about 2 years
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$358k Vol.
$621k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

37%

Steve Witkoff

$756k Vol.
$324k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

89%

Olivia Chow

$171k Vol.
$218k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

94%

Xi Jinping

$152k Vol.
$126k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

35%

Zohran Mamdani

$53k Vol.
$527k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

95%

Delcy Rodríguez

$393k Vol.
$306k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
P
PGA Tour: Biltmore Championship Asheville Winner

Sports · Golf

PGA Tour: Biltmore Championship Asheville Winner

41%

Neal Shipley

$16k Vol.
$507k Liq.
Ended
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

13%

Gavin Newsom

$1.1m Vol.
$777k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
M
MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

Sports · Goals

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

58%

Lionel Messi

$937k Vol.
$33k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

82%

Mark Carney

$136k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

30%

Dan Scavino

$1.4m Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
WSOP: Player of the Year Winner

WSOP · Poker

WSOP: Player of the Year Winner

50%

A

$45k Vol.
$62k Liq.