Strait Of Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 230 markets

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

0%

Yes

$12.2m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$569k today
Ends in about 22 hours
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

20%

Yes

$13.6m Vol.
$422k Liq.
🔥$126k today
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

3%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$158k Liq.
🔥$70k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

81%

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

$528k Vol.
$166k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

96%

0-5

$96k Vol.
$98k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

12%

Yes

$517k Vol.
$98k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

6%

10+

$43k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?

30%

25-29

$24k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
T
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

6%

Yes

$102k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

28%

US

$50k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

99%

September 21

$156k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

28%

December 31

$3.4m Vol.
$109k Liq.
🔥$193k today
37
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

35%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

28%

October 31

$887k Vol.
$40k Liq.
49
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

25%

October 31

$2.7m Vol.
$49k Liq.
155
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

54%

December 31

$1.4m Vol.
$152k Liq.
12
Ends in about 22 hours
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

4%

Yes

$985k Vol.
$41k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

23%

December 31

$9.9m Vol.
$33k Liq.
1,016
Ends in 4 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: September

Nothing Ever Happens: September

100%

Nothing

$10k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?

76%

25-29

$55k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours