Strait Of Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 317 markets

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

0%

Yes

$12.1m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$595k today
Ends in 1 day
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

22%

Yes

$13.6m Vol.
$428k Liq.
🔥$94k today
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

4%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$164k Liq.
🔥$80k today
Ends in about 1 month
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

12%

Yes

$517k Vol.
$113k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

97%

0-5

$95k Vol.
$136k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

79%

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

$518k Vol.
$241k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?

28%

25-29

$24k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

5%

10+

$43k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
T
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

6%

Yes

$102k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

28%

US

$50k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

99%

September 21

$156k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

33%

December 31

$3.3m Vol.
$97k Liq.
🔥$166k today
25
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

37%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

27%

October 31

$883k Vol.
$39k Liq.
49
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

26%

October 31

$2.7m Vol.
$58k Liq.
155
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

55%

December 31

$1.4m Vol.
$146k Liq.
12
Ends in 1 day
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

4%

Yes

$985k Vol.
$41k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

23%

December 31

$9.9m Vol.
$34k Liq.
1,016
Ends in 4 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: September

Nothing Ever Happens: September

100%

Nothing

$10k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

26%

October 31

$397k Vol.
$42k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month