State Of Union Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

L
Longest applause at State of the Union?

36%

70 - 90 seconds

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$1.1m Vol.
$171k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

90%

Democrats

$5k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

82%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$53k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
P
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 29?

93%

$745

$101 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 28?

98%

$755

$13k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
W
Which party will win older women in the midterms?

88%

Democrats

$837 Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

5%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

7%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

88%

Russia

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

72%

March 31

$33.0m Vol.
$510k Liq.
🔥$362k today
665
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

100%

September 30

$774k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

5%

Yes

$387 Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
B
Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

98%

Up

$3k Vol.
$83 Liq.
Ended
C
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

14%

Yes

$419 Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

61%

Democrats Sweep

$14.5m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$140k today
331
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

3%

Yes

$190k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

42%

200+

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days