State Of The Union Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

L
Longest applause at State of the Union?

36%

70 - 90 seconds

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m Vol.
$181k Liq.
🔥$65k today
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump say during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium?

85%

SI / Super Intelligence 3+ times

$7k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

90%

Democrats

$5k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

81%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$53k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

7%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

5%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win older women in the midterms?

88%

Democrats

$837 Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

87%

Russia

$2k Vol.
$808 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 29?

100%

$745

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
W
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

5%

Yes

$387 Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

3%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$21k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
P
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

72%

March 31

$33.4m Vol.
$549k Liq.
🔥$670k today
672
Ends in 3 months
W
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

14%

Yes

$419 Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

62%

Democrats Sweep

$14.6m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$121k today
333
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%

Yes

$180k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

45%

180-199

$9k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 days