State Of The Union Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

L
Longest applause at State of the Union?

36%

70 - 90 seconds

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m Vol.
$180k Liq.
🔥$64k today
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump say during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium?

82%

SI / Super Intelligence 3+ times

$11k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 4 hours
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

90%

Democrats

$5k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

82%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$53k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

7%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

5%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win older women in the midterms?

88%

Democrats

$837 Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

84%

China

$3k Vol.
$815 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 29?

100%

$745

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
W
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

5%

Yes

$387 Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

3%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$20k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
P
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

74%

March 31

$33.5m Vol.
$511k Liq.
🔥$634k today
677
Ends in 3 months
W
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$110k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

16%

Yes

$454 Vol.
$784 Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

62%

Democrats Sweep

$14.6m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$112k today
333
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%

Yes

$180k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

51%

180-199

$9k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 days