State Of The Union Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

L
Longest applause at State of the Union?

36%

70 - 90 seconds

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m Vol.
$324k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

90%

Democrats

$5k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

80%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$53k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

7%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win older women in the midterms?

88%

Democrats

$837 Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

85%

China

$3k Vol.
$529 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

5%

Yes

$387 Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

3%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$20k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
P
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 30?

98%

$740

$2k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

79%

March 31

$33.8m Vol.
$591k Liq.
🔥$504k today
682
Ends in 3 months
W
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$113k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

17%

Yes

$454 Vol.
$802 Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

63%

Democrats Sweep

$14.6m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$91k today
333
Ends in about 1 month
U
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%

Yes

$180k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

85%

200+

$10k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 days