Speaker Predictions & Odds· 221 markets

M
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?

14%

December 31

$56k Vol.
$19k Liq.
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S
Speaker of the House after the midterms?

78%

Hakeem Jeffries

$4k Vol.
$29k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$118k Vol.
$17k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
W
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

98%

-No Qualifying Event-

$28k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?

69%

Yes

$331 Vol.
$294 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

5%

Yes

$387 Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Trump insult Xi by end of US Visit?

4%

Yes

$319 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

60%

Democrats Sweep

$12.8m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$111k today
292
Ends in about 1 month
T
Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

40%

December 31

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$42k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

93%

September 30

$47k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

Yes

$178k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 4 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

75%

Mark Carney

$136k Vol.
$12k Liq.
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W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$11.8m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$204k today
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

49%

Zohran Mamdani

$71k Vol.
$310 Liq.
Ended
A
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

92%

Not Extended & Democratic Party

$407k Vol.
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Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through...?

October 15

$48k Vol.
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A
AI on Amazon speaker by June?

All · amazon

AI on Amazon speaker by June?

Yes

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
When will the next speaker be elected by?

October 31

$54k Vol.
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3
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Who will be the next speaker?

All

Who will be the next speaker?

Mike Johnson

$553k Vol.
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Ended