Shut Down Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$78k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?

Sports · Golf

Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?

28%

Yes

$75k Vol.
$465 Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

78%

October 31

$1.3m Vol.
$129k Liq.
🔥$115k today
77
Ends in about 1 month
C
Counter-Strike: Village vs TenToesDown (BO3) - FRAG Midwest St. Louis Group D

27%

Village

$12 Vol.
$83 Liq.
Ended
C
Counter-Strike: TenToesDown vs penazoid (BO1) - FRAG Midwest St. Louis Group D

50%

TenToesDown

$13 Vol.
$20 Liq.
Ended
S
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

5%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

11%

Yes

$114k Vol.
$5k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 24?

93%

$760

$432 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
C
Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Keyd (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Keyd (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A

55%

Turma do Pagode

$10 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

62%

December 31

$31.2m Vol.
$413k Liq.
🔥$413k today
604
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 23?

100%

$750

$9k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 35 minutes
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1000k Vol.
$270k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

16%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$243k Liq.
35
Ended
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$337 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

19%

OpenAI

$10k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
C
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

60%

Nuclear TigeRES

$590 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

3%

Wells Fargo

$76k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
C
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A

70%

paiN

$10 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 24 hours
U
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?

1%

Yes

$195k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 7 days