Shut Down Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$44k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?

Sports · Golf

Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?

39%

Yes

$75k Vol.
$424 Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

77%

October 31

$875k Vol.
$94k Liq.
🔥$176k today
49
Ends in 9 days
C
Counter-Strike: Village vs TenToesDown (BO3) - FRAG Midwest St. Louis Group D

27%

Village

$12 Vol.
$83 Liq.
Ended
C
Counter-Strike: TenToesDown vs penazoid (BO1) - FRAG Midwest St. Louis Group D

50%

TenToesDown

$13 Vol.
$20 Liq.
Ended
S
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

5%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

14%

Yes

$108k Vol.
$4k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

64%

December 31

$30.2m Vol.
$458k Liq.
🔥$289k today
594
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 22?

98%

$750

$517 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$949k Vol.
$143k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A

69%

paiN

$5k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$240k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

12%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$336 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

26%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
C
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Nexus (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs

50%

The Last Resort

$0 Vol.
$247 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
C
Counter-Strike: WBT Academy vs Revise (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #7 Group C

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: WBT Academy vs Revise (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #7 Group C

50%

WBT Academy

$0 Vol.
$203 Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

3%

RBC

$76k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
U
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?

1%

Yes

$194k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
C
Counter-Strike: Playing Ducks vs BLUEJAYS.de (BO3) - DACH CS Masters Regular Season

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Playing Ducks vs BLUEJAYS.de (BO3) - DACH CS Masters Regular Season

40%

Playing Ducks

$283 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 days