September 9 Primaries Predictions & Odds· 141 markets

W
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

99%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$48k Liq.
28
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

99%

September 20

$527k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

88%

September 21

$102k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

37%

September 29

$20k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

92%

September 21

$48k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

89%

No release by September 30

$109k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
L
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

32%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$144 Liq.
2
Ends in 10 days
S
September Inflation US - Annual

September Inflation US - Annual

44%

3.6%

$37k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 24 days
I
ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

28%

54.0 to 54.9

$14k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - September 2026

74%

46.0 to 48.9

$11k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
S
September Inflation UK - Annual

UK · CPI

September Inflation UK - Annual

59%

3.4-3.6%

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Trump approval rating on September 25?

44%

38.5–38.9

$20 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
I
ISM Services PMI - September 2026

ISM Services PMI - September 2026

28%

53.0 to 53.9

$16k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

97%

<5

$17k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

98%

<5

$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?

48%

↑$13B

$16k Vol.
$145 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

94%

<5

$378 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Glean's valuation hit __ by September 30?

49%

↑$7.75B

$8k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 11 days